The challenge of asymptomatic carriers of COVID-19: A rapid review of literature

El desafío de los portadores asintomáticos de COVID-19: una revisión rápida de la literatura

Cidronio Albavera-Hernández Jorge M. Rodríguez-Hernández Flor S. Piñeros-Garzón Sandra M. Montoya-Sanabria About the authors

ABSTRACT

Objectives

To describe the epidemiological and sociodemographic characteristics of asymptomatic carriers reported in the literature, and to review the strategies used for diagnosis and control.

Methods

Systematic literature review approach. As inclusion criteria, all studies published between January 1 and June 26, 2020, conducted in humans, that reported people who remained asymptomatic of COVID-19. Descriptors were adapted to the interfaces of eight bibliographic databases were configured: PubMed, Ovid, SciELO, Ebsco, Scopus, LILACS, Epistemonikos and Embase.

Results

About 45% of the articles reported adult population, thirteen reported mixed population (adult and pediatric). 3 525 asymptomatic people were reported, with an average of 37,1 years [0.5-82 years]. Although the effectiveness of the control and prevention measures was not reported, the identification, isolation and follow-up of contacts stands out as a potential effective mechanism to prevent the transmission.

Conclusions

The use of this information could be relevant to guide evidence-based public health policies and the protection of populations and the improvement of health care that contributes to stopping this pandemic.

Key Words:
COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; carrier state; prevention and control (source: MeSH, NLM)

RESUMEN

Objetivos

Describir las características epidemiológicas y sociodemográficas de los portadores asintomáticos reportadas en la literatura y revisar las estrategias utilizadas para el diagnóstico y control.

Métodos

Se realizó una revisión sistemática de la literatura. Se incluyeron todos los estudios publicados entre el 1.° de enero y el 26 de junio de 2020 realizados en humanos que informaron personas que permanecieron asintomáticas por COVID-19. Se adaptaron descriptores a las interfaces de ocho bases de datos bibliográficas: Pub-Med, Ovid, SciELO, Ebsco, Scopus, LILACS, Epistemonikos y Embase.

Resultados

Aproximadamente el 45% de los artículos reportaron población adulta, trece estudios informaron población mixta (adultos y pediátricos). Se identificaron 3 525 personas asintomáticas, con un promedio de 37,1 años [0,5-82 años]. Si bien no se reportó efectividad de medidas de control y prevención, la identificación, aislamiento y seguimiento de los contactos se destaca como un potencial mecanismo efectivo para prevenir la transmisión.

Conclusiones

El uso de esta información podría ser relevante para orientar las políticas de salud pública basadas en la evidencia y la protección de las poblaciones y la mejora de la atención médica que contribuya a detener esta pandemia.

Palabras Clave:
Infecciones por coronavirus; virus del SARS; portado sano; prevención & control (fuente: DeCS, BIREME)

For many years, in epidemiology and public health, asymptomatic carriers have been defined as those people who behave like a vector: they transmit the disease; however, they may or may not develop signs and symptoms of the event that they potentially transmit. Therefore, they can do it during the incubation period, during convalescence or post-convalescence 11. Last J, Spasoff R, Harris S, eds. A Dictionary of Epidemiology. 4th. ed. New York: Oxford University Press; 2000.. As Gordis refers, a carrier is a person who has the infectious agent, but is not sick, nor have evidence of signs and symptoms of clinical manifestations. They can infect other people. A healthy carrier can have a limited duration or it can be chronic, in that sense it can last days, weeks, months or in rare cases, years 22. León G. Dinámica de transmisión de la enfermedad. In: Celentano D, Szklo M, editors. Gordis Epidemiología. 6th. Barcelona, España: Elsevier; 2019. p. 17-41..

There are not many diseases or cases in which asymptomatic carriers have been described, such as Hepatitis A, Typhoid Fever, among others. The case of Mary the Typhoid is very famous, a woman of British origin who is credited with at least three deaths and fifty people who fell ill with Typhoid Fever in New York City at the beginning of the last century 33. Chang H, Glass R. Fiebre tifoidea. JAMA; 2009.,44. Prieto L, Gorgolás M. Mary 'la tifoidea', la mujer que mató a tres personas sin salir de la cocina. El País [Internet]. 2019 [cited 2020 Jul 27]. https://bit.ly/2YDadao.
https://bit.ly/2YDadao...
. The asymptomatic carrier is challenging for public health and health services because, as with Mary, it can trigger an outbreak at a certain time and place.

Since December 31, 2019, the world has undergone changes in several areas. The first days they failed to identify the origin of the outbreak. On January 7,2020, the causative agent, a virus of the Coronaviridae family, was identified. The genetic sequence of the virus was shared on January 12,2020, called SARS-CoV-2 55. Huang C, Wang Y, Li X, Ren L, Zhao J, Hu Y, et al. Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China. The Lancet.2020; 395(10223):497-506. 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30183-5.

6. Li Q, Guan X, Wu P, Wang X, Zhou L, Tong Y, et al. Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia. N Engl J Med. 2020; 382(13):1199-207. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001316.
https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2001316...

7. Zou L, Ruan F, Huang M, Liang L, Huang H, Hong Z, et al. SARS-CoV-2 Viral Load in Upper Respiratory Specimens of Infected Patients. N Engl J Med . 2020; 382(12):1177-9. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMc2001737.
https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMc2001737...
-88. Bogoch II, Watts A, Thomas-Bachli A, Huber C, Kraemer MUG, Khan K, et al. Pneumonia of unknown aetiology in Wuhan, China: potential for international spread via commercial air travel. J Travel Med.2020; 27(2):1-3. DOI: 10.1093/jtm/taaa008.
https://doi.org/10.1093/jtm/taaa008...
. From the first month of starting COVID-19, it began to spread to other countries on the Asian continent and then to other continents.

The COVID-19 situation is very complex, since they have been reported from acute, pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic carriers to people with mild, moderate, severe and fatal symptoms 99. Rothe C, Schunk M, Sothmann P, Bretzel G, Froeschl G, Wallrauch C, et al. Transmission of 2019-nCoV Infection from an Asymptomatic Con-tact in Germany. N Engl J Med . 2020; 382(10):970-1. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMc2001468.
https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMc2001468...
,1010. Mason RJ. Pathogenesis of COVID-19 from a cell biologic perspective. Eur Respir J. 2020; 55(4). DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00607-2020.
https://doi.org/10.1183/13993003.00607-2...
The former behave as vectors, which is a challenge for the detection of cases, isolation, follow-up, contact management, and in general all the epidemiological control that must be done with the health services of a territory 1111. Lai C-C, Liu Y-H, Wang C-Y, Wang Y-H, Hsueh S-C, Yen M-Y, et al. Asymptomatic carrier state, acute respiratory disease, and pneumonia due to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2): Facts and myths. J Microbiol Immunol Infect. 2020; 53(3):404-12. DOI: 10.1016/j.jmii.2020.02.012.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmii.2020.02.0...
.

COVID-19 has been the largest pandemic in the past 100 years. Despite the efforts made by the world scientific community, there is still no definitive cure. Due to the easy spread of the virus, multiple global questions remain to be answered, and within them is the role of people who transmit the virus without manifesting symptoms, and who, as previously mentioned, can be classified as asymptomatic and presymptomatic. The first are those who, even when carrying the virus, never develop the disease, that is, they remain completely asymptomatic during the course of the infection, and never manifest symptoms in any apparatus and system; presymptomatic patients transmit the pathogen agent a few days before symptoms begin 1010. Mason RJ. Pathogenesis of COVID-19 from a cell biologic perspective. Eur Respir J. 2020; 55(4). DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00607-2020.
https://doi.org/10.1183/13993003.00607-2...
,1212. Choe P, Kang C, Suh H, Jung J, Kang E, Lee S, et al. Antibody Responses to SARS-CoV-2 at 8 Weeks Postinfection in Asymptomatic Patients. Emerg Infect Dis. 2020; 26(10):2484-7. DOI: 10.3201/eid2610.202211.
https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2610.202211...
.

This quick review of the literature had two objectives. First, to describe the epidemiological and sociodemographic characteristics of the asymptomatic carriers that have been reported, and to review the strategies used for the potential diagnosis and control of transmissibility at the family and community level.

METHODS

A systematic review approach was used. This, under the premise of including rationalized efforts to identify, organize/map and synthesize the findings 1313. Oliver S, Wilson M, Melendez-Torres G. How can we select review methods for complex questions related to health policy and system improvement? In: Tricco A, Straus S, Langlois E, editors. Rapid reviews to strengthen health policy and systems: a practical guide [Internet]. Geneva: World Health Organization. 2017. https://bit.ly/3tpE8AY.
https://bit.ly/3tpE8AY...
,1414. Tricco A, Straus S, Langlois E, eds. Alliance for Health Policy and Systems Research. Rapid reviews to strengthen health policy and systems: a practical guide. Geneva: World Health Organization ; 2017.. As a first measure, a process was carried out of translation into the documentary language and identification of a standard question format that responded to the information needs that guided this review. Consequently, the following questions were constructed: What are the epidemiological and demographic characteristics of people diagnosed with COVID-19 who remain asymptomatic during all the disease? What are the best strategies for diagnosis, prevention and control of the transmissibility of COVID-19 by asymptomatic people?

Eligibility criteria

Eligibility criteria inclusion were considered all studies published from January 1 to June 26,2020, conducted in humans, who remained asymptomatic throughout the clinical course of COVID-19. We searched for registries without methodological or language restrictions, the results of which focused on the clinical and sociodemographic characteristics of this population and/or the diagnostic or prevention and control strategies used to identify and reduce transmissibility. Records whose documentary type corresponded to letters to the editor, abstracts, editorials or errata faith were excluded.

Information sources

We considered some descriptors can be seen in table 1. These descriptors configured search equations adapted to next bibliographic databases (BDB): PubMed, Ovid, Scielo , Ebsco, Scopus, LILACS, Epistemonikos and Embase. Additionally, technical documents and reverse search in selected articles were considered (Table 1).

Table 1
Example of search equation, according to bibliographic databases

Study selection

Four reviewers with postgraduate training in epidemiology and public health participated in this review. Through the application for the screening stage 1515. Ouzzani M, Hammady H, Fedorowicz Z, Elmagarmid A. Rayyan-a web and mobile app for systematic reviews. Syst Rev. 2016; 5(210):1-10., peer re-viewers (jm, ca, fp) independently assessed the titles and summaries of the searches, depending on whether the included findings were relevant to the two objectives put forward. In the records without agreement, a third (sm) reviewer settled the conflicts. Upon passing the screening phase, in the eligibility stage a full-text records eligibility matrix was designed in excel to identify the articles to be evaluated in full text, selecting the records that had all the inclusion criteria considered in the review and the components of the guiding questions. This matrix was in-dependently completed for four groups of articles, one for each reviewer, and subsequently validated by consensus by all reviewers. Finally, when assessing the risk of bias of the selected studies, the articles that were subject to data extraction were included.

Data item and collection process

In consensus, the reviewers designed and piloted an information extraction matrix (excel) consisting of four fields.

Risk of bias in individual studies

Five criteria to establish the risk of bias were identified and weighed: absence of bias in the selection of participants, quality of the data record, absence of conflicts of interest or clear reporting of funding sources, absence of publication bias, and compliance with criteria of content and/or structure of the manuscript. The totality of articles selected for data extraction was divided into two groups, each of which was assigned to two pairs of reviewers, who independently rated each record and agreed the articles that ultimately formed part of the synthesis of findings of this review. The consistency of this stage was evaluated by the reviewers who have clinical and epidemiological experience.

RESULTS

Study selection

The literature search for this literature review included the different electronic BDBS reported in the methodology session. The search ran from January first to June 26-2020. It was carried out in various stages as shown in figure 1. In the identification stage, the keywords shown in table 1 were used, and a total of 1 874 articles were found.

Figure 1
Flow chart of the different phases of the systematic review

Of these, 523 were eliminated in duplicates, leaving 1 351, which passed to the screening stage. They underwent a review of titles and summary by pairs and resolution of conflicts by a third reviewer, finding 20 duplicates and discarding 1.128 more that did not meet the inclusion criteria. At the end of this phase, 203 articles remained.

In the next stage, a full-text peer review was performed, 128 did not meet inclusion criteria, five were duplicates, two were not retrieved by language, and nine were excluded because they corresponded to research proto-cols. At the end of this phase, 59 articles remained, which went to the inclusion stage for quantitative synthesis and extraction of specific information. Researchers peer-re-viewed the full texts of records deemed eligible for inclusion; any discrepancies were resolved through discussion and consensus. In this phase, 1 duplicated and 8 with low methodological quality and high risk of bias were excluded, therefore leaving 50 articles (Figure 1).

Study characteristics

The vast majority of studies 3737. London V, McLaren R, Atallah F, Cepeda C, McCalla S, Fisher N, et al. The Relationship between Status at Presentation and Outcomes among Pregnant Women with COVID-19. Am J Perinatol. 2020. 37(10):991-4. DOI: 10.1055/s-0040-1712164.
https://doi.org/10.1055/s-0040-1712164...
were case studies and case series, one was a cross-sectional study, seven cohort studies (mostly retrospective) and five were systematic reviews (two with meta-analyses). They were published in indexed journals with high academic impact, with participants and researchers from countries such as China (n=25), the USA (n=6), Japan (n=3), Italy (n=3), and South Korea (n=3).

Synthesis of results

As described in the methodology, it was reviewed and verified that in the reviewed articles, asymptomatic people did not become symptomatic during the follow-up period. Of the 50 articles included, all showed at the end persons who fulfilled this characteristic; on average, the articles showed 73 participants, ranging from one to 878 participants. However, two-thirds of the studies had up to 50 participants. Regarding the sex of the participants, 39 of the articles reported both sexes, four reported only women, seven reported only men, and one did not report this variable. Regarding the population, about 23/50 of the articles reported adult population, thirteen reported a mixed population (adult and pediatric), eleven pediatric populations, three in pregnant women.

Six studies reported a history of diabetes, and seven reported hypertension history. Regarding the epidemiological designs that supported these studies, 28/50 studies selected were case series, five were systematic reviews, seven were cohort designs, and the rest were cross-sectional studies. The information gathering techniques were mostly through electronic clinical records, four reported face-to-face interviews. Most of the studies carried out descriptive analysis, that is, they presented reports with absolute and relative frequencies; few studies presented comparative analysis and/or bivariate tests or with statistical significance processes. In terms of prevention measures to avoid contagions, as individual measures, most of the studies do not mention the use of masks, three of the studies do mention it. Only three studies made mention of promoting healthy lifestyles. 13 studies shown basic supportive treatment and antivirals were administered to asymptomatic patients, the rest were not given treatment, they were only under observation. In 20 studies, they mention the identification of close contacts and testing (RT-PCR), and the follow-up of the contacts by telephone calls. In 22 studies, they mentioned the compulsory social isolation of asymptomatic (Table 2).

Table 2
Summary of studies included in the systematic review

DISCUSSION

3 525 asymptomatic people were identified in this study (average 37,1 years old; age range: 0,5 to 82 years old). No mortality was reported. Except for one study that used serological tests 3939. Wu J, Liu X, Zhou D, Qiu G, Dai M, Yang Q, et al. Identification of RT-PCR-Negative Asymptomatic COVID-19 Patients via Serological Testing. Front Public Health. 2020; 8(267):1-5. DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2020.00267.
https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2020.00267...
, diagnosis in asymptomatic patients was made with positive reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (SARS-COV2-RT-PCR) tests. Similarly, recovery was determined in most studies with one or two consecutive RT-PCR tests with negative results and normal chest tomography patterns. Positive control tests were observed after 7 to 24 days, with respect to the confirmatory diagnostic test.

Medical history of asymptomatic people diagnosed with COVID-19, less than 20% of the studies reported comorbidities such as high blood pressure, diabetes mellitus or obesity. An important group reported tomographic alterations presumptive of pneumonia, without symptoms and/or alterations evidenced by chest X-rays. The tomographic alterations coincide with that reported by some authors 6666. He J, Guo Y, Mao R, Zhang J. Proportion of asymptomatic coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Med Virol . 2020. DOI: 10.1002/jmv.26326.
https://doi.org/10.1002/jmv.26326...
who found that in 36 patients, of 4 studies in which the results of the chest tomography were available, 15 (41,7%) had abnormal findings with bilateral involvement and 14 (38,9%) unilateral.

Compared to the findings in immunological or blood chemistry tests, increased values of C-reactive protein, lactic dehydrogenase were evidenced; and lymphopenia or leukocytopenia; which is consistent with the findings of other researchers 1717. Bai K, Liu W, Liu C, Fu Y, Hu J, Qin Y, et al. Clinical Analysis of 25 COVID-19 Infections in Children. Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2020; 39(7):100-3. DOI: 10.1097/INF.0000000000002740.
https://doi.org/10.1097/INF.000000000000...
,66. Li Q, Guan X, Wu P, Wang X, Zhou L, Tong Y, et al. Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia. N Engl J Med. 2020; 382(13):1199-207. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001316.
https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2001316...
.

Although this review does not report results related to the effectiveness of the control measures, isolation and follow-up of cases and close contacts, there are diverse experiences and literature that records that where these measures have been applied, has led to a decrease in the transmission of the infectious agent within the susceptible population. Its non-application in a systematic and timely manner has shown the risks and consequences in the elderly and in people with comorbidities, as happened in the United States, Brazil, Mexico, India or Colombia.

On the contrary, its application in a continuous, systematic, early, and generalized way, even in densely populated countries such as Vietnam or Taiwan, has caused the transmission speed to decrease due to the detection and isolation of cases and contacts, and therefore the risks of transmission, morbidity and death have been reduced, as has also occurred in other countries such as Canada, New Zealand and some European countries 6767. Hellewell J, Abbott S, Gimma A, Bosse N, Jarvis C, Russell T, et al. Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts. Lancet Glob Health. 2020; 8(4):488-96. DOI: 10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30074-7.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30...

68. Kucharski AJ, Klepac P, Conlan AJK, Kissler SM, Tang ML, Fry H, et al. Effectiveness of isolation, testing, contact tracing, and physical distancing on reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in different settings: a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Infect Dis . 2020; 20(10):1151-60.

69. Salathé M, Althaus CL, Neher R, Stringhini S, Hodcroft E, Fellay J, et al. COVID-19 epidemic in Switzerland: on the importance of testing, contact tracing and isolation. Swiss Med Wkly. 2020. DOI: 10.4414/smw.2020.20225.
https://doi.org/10.4414/smw.2020.20225...
-7070. World Health Organization. Contact tracing in the context of COVID 19 [Internet]. Geneva: WHO; 2020 [cited 2020 Jul 26]. https://bit.ly/2MW1gXi.
https://bit.ly/2MW1gXi...
.

Evidence also shows that, in asymptomatic patients, the viral load is similar to that of symptomatic patients. If these asymptomatic patients are not diagnosed, are not isolated, protection measures are not taken, they can potentially infect other people, so it is suggested to carry out tests that allow the detection of asymptomatic cases, to improve the strategies for control of COViD-1977. Zou L, Ruan F, Huang M, Liang L, Huang H, Hong Z, et al. SARS-CoV-2 Viral Load in Upper Respiratory Specimens of Infected Patients. N Engl J Med . 2020; 382(12):1177-9. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMc2001737.
https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMc2001737...
,5353. Qian G, Yang N, Ma A, Wang L, Li G, Chen X, et al. A COVID-19 Trans-mission within a family cluster by presymptomatic infectors in China. Clin Infect Dis . 2020; 71(15):861-2..

Limitations in the body of evidence

The studies selected in this review had several limitations. Many had a small sample size: 33 of 50 studies had between 1 and 20 participants, limited by the representativeness of the results presented. Additionally, the studies carried out in pregnant women had limitations related to the nonspecific reporting of findings in paraclinical tests and symptoms that could well be related to COVID-19 or infectious pathologies typical of pregnancy.

On the other hand, thirty of the fifty articles were case series, where most of them had basically descriptive analysis. Consequently, the measures and the results reports were heterogeneous, which limited the performance of a meta-analysis process of the information extracted.

Limitations of the review

The COVID-19 pandemic has represented a challenge for humanity, which has sought to seek alternatives for the prevention, control, mitigation and eradication of the disease. This has led to an 'explosion' of information from different parts of the world, which seeks to describe or propose alternatives for action in the face of the pandemic. Much of this information has a risk of bias or limitations of external validity, related to the availability of health technologies or the configuration of the health systems and services of the countries where the studies were carried out.

As a limitation of this study, a group of records was divided and screened by each of the reviewers independently. However, in order to overcome the risk of bias, in the eligibility and extraction phase, peer review and group consensus of the articles individually selected by the reviewers were favored.

Additionally, due to the fact that studies whose target population was asymptomatic were privileged, it led to the consolidated information having a high degree of heterogeneity, as stated previously, consequently, the possibility of analyzing aspects such as the basic reproduction of vi-ruses, the mean incubation time, infection rate, seroprevalence, and case fatality rate for COVID-19 in asymptomatic people; as happened with the study of certain researchers 7171. He W, Yi GY, Zhu Y. Estimation of the basic reproduction number, ave-rage incubation time, asymptomatic infection rate, and case fatality rate for COVID-19: Meta-analysis and sensitivity analysis. J Med Virol . 2020; 2543-50. DOI: 10.1002/jmv.26041.
https://doi.org/10.1002/jmv.26041...
who obtained such information from a group of studies that analyzed these aspects, but were directed to the symptomatic and asymptomatic population. On the other hand, this evidence synthesis did not report findings on the fecal-oral transmission 7272. Al-Sadeq DW, Nasrallah GK. The incidence of the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 among asymptomatic patients: a systematic review. Int J Infect Dis . 2020; 98:372-80. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.06.098.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.06.0...
of the virus or on the average recovery time in the population object of this review. Nor did it identify the viral load of asymptomatic patients 7373. Yan X, Han X, Fan Y, Fang Z, Long D, Zhu Y. Duration of SARS-CoV-2 viral RNA in asymptomatic carriers. Crit Care Lond Engl. 2020; 24(1):245-7., nor how it was previously reported. Other variables of community transmission of COVID-19 were specifically recorded, such as screening strategies 7474. Al-Shamsi H, Coomes E, Alrawi S. Screening for COVID-19 in Asymptomatic Patients with Cancer in a Hospital in the United Arab Emirates. JAMA Oncol. 2020; 6(10):1627-8. DOI: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2020.2548.
https://doi.org/10.1001/jamaoncol.2020.2...
and tracking strategies for this population 7575. Hanalise V, Singh A. Asymptomatic transmission during the COVID 19 pandemic and implications for public health strategies. Clin Infect Dis . 2020. DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaa654.
https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa654...

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  • Funding:

    This research did not receive any specific.
  • Conflict of interest:

    None.

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    03 Feb 2023
  • Date of issue
    Nov-Dec 2020

History

  • Received
    26 Oct 2020
  • Reviewed
    29 Oct 2020
  • Accepted
    10 Nov 2020
Instituto de Salud Publica, Facultad de Medicina - Universidad Nacional de Colombia Bogotá - DF - Colombia
E-mail: revistasp_fmbog@unal.edu.co