ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE

Describe and compare variations of the factors associated with the prevalence of diarrhea in children under five years old in the state of Pernambuco.

METHODS

We used the databases of two population-based surveys from the years 1997 and 2006, with 2,078 and 1,650 children, respectively, evaluated in 18 municipalities of Pernambuco (Metropolitan Region of Recife, urban and rural interior). The variables, allocated at hierarchical levels, were analyzed using prevalence and Poisson regression ratios.

RESULTS

Only four variables were independently associated and were included in the final hierarchical model: geographical area, number of people per room, maternal age and the age of the child. In 1997: urban interior = 1.33 (95%CI 1.06–1.66), rural interior = 1.22 (95%CI 0.97–1.53) and in 2006: urban interior = 1.87 (95%CI 1.31–2.66), rural interior = 2.07 (95%CI 1.50–2.85); number of persons per room (1997): 1 to less than 2 = 1.29 (95%CI 0.98–1.68), two or more = 1.47 (95%CI 1.11–1.95) and in 2006: 1 to less than 2 = 0.86 (95%CI 0.68–1.09), two or more = 1.29 (95%CI 0.94–1.75); maternal age (1997): 10 to 19 years = 1.48 (95%CI 1.05–2.08), 20 to 24 years = 1.23 (95%CI 0.94–1.60), 25 to 34 years = 1.01 (95%CI 0.78–1.30) and in 2006: 10 to 19 years old = 1.70 (95%CI 1.08–2.66), 20 to 24 years old = 1.64 (95%CI 1.16–2.32), 25 to 34 years = 1.20 (95%CI 0.89–1.62); and age of the child (1997): 0–11 months = 1.57 (95%CI 1.27–1.94), 12–23 months = 1.73 (95%CI 1.41–2.12) and in 2006: 0–11 months = 1.04 (95%CI 0.76–1.41), 12–23 months = 1.77 (95%CI 1.41–2.23).

CONCLUSIONS

There was a great variability of the conditioners of diarrhea in children between the two periods analyzed. At the public policy level, despite changes in terms of people, time sequences, and geographic spaces, diarrhea remains on an important scale in the ranking of government power.

DESCRIPTORS
Child, Preschool; Diarrhea, Infantile, epidemiology; Diarrhea, epidemiology; Prevalence; Risk Factors; Socioeconomic Factors; Time Series Studies

INTRODUCTION

The diarrheal disease continues to be one of the main problems affecting the infant population in the first years of life, especially in less developed regions. Due to its high morbidity and mortality, it is a priority public health issue¹1. The United Nations Children's Fund; World Health Organization. Diarrhoea: why children are still dying and what can be done. New York: UNICEF/WHO; 2009 [cited 2013 Aug 21]. Available from: www.unicef.org.?media/files/Final_Diarrhoea-Report-October-2009-final.pdf
www.unicef.org.?media/files/Final_Diarrh... ^,22. Mendes PSA, Ribeiro Jr HC, Mendes CMC. Temporal trends of overall mortality and hospital morbidity due to diarrheal disease in Brazilian children younger than 5 years from 2000 to 2010. J Pediatr (Rio J). 2013;89(3):315-25. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jped.2012.10.002
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jped.2012.10.0... and represents an important demand in the health services network at a global, regional and local scale³3. Walker CLF, Perin J, Aryee MJ, Boschi-Pinto C, Black RE. Diarrhea incidence in low-and-middle income countries in 1990 and 2010: a systematic review. BMC Public Health. 2012;12:220. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-220
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-220... ^,44. Wardlaw T, Salama P, Brocklehurst C, Chopra M, Manso E. Diarrhoea: why children are still dying and what can be done. Lancet. 2010;375(9718):870-2. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(09)61798-0
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(09)61... . In several countries, diarrhea still appears as the main cause of infant death, consisting of a discriminatory indicator of geographic spaces characterized by precarious conditions of collective life, typifying the so-called poverty ecosystems¹1. The United Nations Children's Fund; World Health Organization. Diarrhoea: why children are still dying and what can be done. New York: UNICEF/WHO; 2009 [cited 2013 Aug 21]. Available from: www.unicef.org.?media/files/Final_Diarrhoea-Report-October-2009-final.pdf
www.unicef.org.?media/files/Final_Diarrh... ^,55. Black RE, Cousens S, Johnson HL, Lawn JE, Rudan I, Bassan DG, et al. Global, regional and national causes of child mortality in 2008: a systematic analysis. Lancet. 2010;375(9730):1969-87. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(10)60549-1
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(10)60... .

The problem is related to environmental, socioeconomic and cultural factors, low coverage and effectiveness of health services. These factors can establish marked differences in their evolution due to the inequalities that compromise the profile of production and distribution of goods and services in the context of different strata of the population⁶6. Rouquayrol MZ, Goldbaum M, Santana EWP. Epidemiologia, história natural e prevenção de doenças. In: Rouquayrol MZ, Gurgel M. Epidemiologia e saúde. 7.ed. Rio de Janeiro: MedBook; 2013. p.11-24.^,77. UNICEF. Situação mundial da infância 2012: crianças em um mundo urbano. New York; 2012 [cited 2013 Aug 21]. Available from: https://www.unicef.org/brazil/pt/PT-BR_SOWC_2012.pdf
https://www.unicef.org/brazil/pt/PT-BR_S... .

Due to their clinical and epidemiological characteristics, diarrheas may appear as “tracer conditions”⁸8. Kessner DM, Kalk CE, Singer J. Assessing health quality: the case for tracers. N Engl J Med. 1973;288(4):189-94. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJM197301252880406
https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJM197301252880... , since the descriptive and analytical monitoring of their temporal and spatial evolution, rather than the demarcation of a specific nosology, may represent the cartography of the underdevelopment and poverty, characterized mainly by the occurrence of preventable and curable diseases.

These conceptual and empirical aspects justify the interest in continuous or periodic evaluations on the historical, geographical trends and their risk factors, to represent the degree of human development of the population and health services and actions from a territorial and temporal perspective. From the epidemiological point of view, the configuration of the factor complexes significantly correlated with its occurrence – including intermediate events such as hospitalization, or final ones, such as specific mortality – provides a framework of important benchmarks for the policy and programmatic challenges of the health sector.

The study of periodic population-based studies in the state of Pernambuco on maternal and child health problems provides, in particular, the evaluation of the profound changes in morbidity profiles since 1990 when the most dynamic process of the so-called epidemiological transition⁹9. Secretaria da Saúde do Estado de Pernambuco; UNICEF. I Pesquisa Estadual de Saúde e Nutrição: crianças e adolescentes em Pernambuco: saúde, educação e trabalho. Recife; 1991.^,1010. Secretaria da Saúde do Estado de Pernambuco. II Pesquisa Estadual de Saúde e Nutrição: saúde, nutrição, alimentação e condições socioeconômicas no Estado de Pernambuco. Recife; 1998. is formed. Based on the initial study (1991) on maternal and child health, the prevalence of diarrhea (22.5%) in children in Pernambuco was already much higher than in the states of the Northeast (14.4%) and the Southeast (8%)¹¹11. Schramm JMA, Oliveira AF, Leite IC, Valente JG, Gadelha AMJ, Portela MC, et al. Transição epidemiológica e o estudo da carga de doença no Brasil. Cienc Saude Coletiva. 2004;9(4):897-908. https://doi.org/10.1590/S1413-81232004000400011
https://doi.org/10.1590/S1413-8123200400... . This approach stands out when one incorporates a multifactorial view of the context, i.e., a holistic perspective of health¹²12. Araújo JD. Polarização epidemiológica no Brasil. Epidemiol Serv Saude. 2012;21(4)533-8. https://doi.org/10.5123/S1679-49742012000400002
https://doi.org/10.5123/S1679-4974201200... . It is pertinent to consider that another population-based assessment of the problems and demands of health services in the state of Pernambuco, the IV PESN, will soon be carried out in order to update information on the evolution of various maternal and child health problems, including on the behavior of diarrhea and its participation in the composition of outpatient demands, hospitalizations and major causes of death.

The objective of this study is to describe and compare variations of factors associated with diarrhea in children under five years of age in the state of Pernambuco. To this end, a descriptive and analytical inventory of diarrheal diseases in children from that state was carried out, based on two field surveys conducted in 1997 and 2006, as part of the wider institutional project that should be to focus on spatial and temporal trends in the occurrence of the problem, as well as to determine its possible risk factors.

METHODS

This cross-sectional population-based study used secondary data from the State Health and Nutrition Surveys (II and III PESN) II and III, carried out in 1997 and 2006, representing the urban strata (Metropolitan Region of Recife and urban interior [UI]) and rural (rural interior [RI]), aiming at updating and expanding the diagnosis of health, nutrition, food, service demands and socioeconomic conditions of the population of the state of Pernambuco¹⁰10. Secretaria da Saúde do Estado de Pernambuco. II Pesquisa Estadual de Saúde e Nutrição: saúde, nutrição, alimentação e condições socioeconômicas no Estado de Pernambuco. Recife; 1998.^,1313. Secretaria da Saúde do Estado de Pernambuco. III Pesquisa Estadual de Saúde e Nutrição: situação alimentar, nutricional e de saúde no Estado de Pernambuco: contexto socioeconômico e de serviços: relatório final. Recife; 2007..

The study population was constituted by children under five, included in the two surveys mentioned above, with 2,078 and 1,650 children, evaluated in 1997 and 2006, respectively.

The sampling process of these surveys was probabilistic and stratified in three stages. Initially, it consisted of a lottery of the municipalities, then the census tracts and finally of the households. The 18 municipalities included in the PESN II and III were: Recife, Olinda, Paulista, Jaboatão, Cabo, São Bento do Una, Goiana, Itaíba, Belém do São Francisco, Orobó, Caruaru, Camocim de São Félix, Triunfo, Bodocó, Palmares, Ribeirão, Panelas, and Itaquitinga.

The interviews were carried out with the mother or the caretaker, applying forms and questionnaires composed of pre-coded questions containing socioeconomic, environmental, demographic, biological information, maternal characteristics and access to health services. The dependent variable was represented by diarrhea morbidity, referenced in the last two weeks prior to the study. The occurrence of three or more daily bowel movements, of liquid or semi-liquid consistency, with or without mucus or blood¹⁴14. Ministério da Saúde(BR), Secretaria de Assistência à Saúde, Coordenação de Saúde Materno-Infantil. Assistência e controle das doenças diarreicas. Brasília (DF); 1993 [cited 2013 Aug 21]. Available from: http://bvsms.saude.gov.br/bvs/publicacoes/partes/doencas_diarreicas1.pdf.
http://bvsms.saude.gov.br/bvs/publicacoe... , was defined as the case.

The independent variables were grouped into: a) geographic factor (urban and rural); b) environmental factors (water supply, sewage treatment, drinking water treatment, waste disposal, type of floor, type of wall, number of people per room and number of people per bedroom); c) socioeconomic factors (possession of a refrigerator, visits by the community health agent and per capita family income); d) maternal factors (age, work condition, and schooling); e) biological factors (birth weight, nutritional status and breastfeeding).

The nutritional status of the children was analyzed by means of anthropometry, using the indicators weight for age, height for age and weight for height, according to the distribution of Z scores. For the classification of anthropometric data, the reference standard adopted by the Ministry of Health¹⁵15. WHO Multicentre Growth Reference Study Group. WHO child growth standards: length/height-for-age, weight-for-age, weight-for-length, weight-for-height and body mass index-for-age: methods and development. Geneva: WHO; 2006. was chosen, using the software Anthro, version 3.2.2¹⁶16. World Health Organization. WHO Anthro: software for assessing growth and development of the world's children. Version 3.2.2. Geneva: WHO; 2011 [cited 2011 Jun 6] Available from: http://www.who.int/childgrowth/software/en/
http://www.who.int/childgrowth/software/... .

To identify factors associated with the occurrence of diarrhea, both in 1997 and in 2006, the predictor variables were hierarchized at three levels by conceptual logic criteria (Figure). The construction of the hierarchical model used in this study had as reference the modeling applied by Fuchs et al. for the investigation of risk factors for severe diarrhea¹⁷17. Fuchs SC, Victora CG, Fachel J. Modelo hierarquizado: uma proposta de modelagem aplicada à investigação de fatores de risco para diarréia grave. Rev Saude Publica. 1996;30(2):168-78. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0034-89101996000200009
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0034-8910199600... . As control variables, the variables sex and age were selected, which, because of their biological meaning and without receiving influence from other variables, could directly interfere in the determination of the investigated problem. From this disposition by levels, we used a univariate analysis process by grouping the categories of variables in each group by calculating prevalence ratios (PR) and respective confidence intervals (95%CI) and adopting p values below 0.25 as of statistical significance. The variables with this value were allowed to integrate the sequence of multivariate analyzes (Poisson regression), starting from the most distal level (geographical categories) to the most proximal ones (variables referring to the child). At each of the following levels, the Poisson multiple regression model was adjusted with the variables of the corresponding level and statistically significant variables of the previous groups. The final model was composed of the variables of the level that presented p-value < 0.05, as well as by the other variables of the previous levels in the same condition. The model adjustments considered the effect of clusters present in the data. The purposeful selection strategy was used to choose the explanatory variables of the models at each level. Poisson regression analysis was performed using Stata 12.1SE software.

It should be noted that the rotavirus vaccine began to be applied (children) at the beginning of the last field survey (March to May) so that its impact would not yet be detectable at the population level.

The surveys (II and III PESN) were approved by the Human Research Ethics Committee of the Centro de Ciências da Saúde da Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (II PESN – 2/27/1997) and the Instituto de Medicina Integral Professor Fernando Figueira (III PESN – 11/9/2005).

RESULTS

The prevalence of diarrhea dropped from 19.8% (1997) to 18.1% (2006). In relation to Group A (geographic factors), the notable reduction in the Metropolitan Region of Recife, from 16.9% to 10.5%, was notable. As a statistically significant association source with diarrhea, we found that the geographical strata were presented in the two surveys, with the lowest risks in the Metropolitan Region of Recife (Table 1). In Group B (environmental factors), composed of eight variables, sanitary sewage, waste destination, number of people per room and treatment of drinking water were common risk factors in the years analyzed. The public water supply, as well as the treatment of drinking water, were statistically significant only in the univariate analyzes for the year 2006. In Group C (socioeconomic factors), the possession of a refrigerator is a protective factor for the occurrence of diarrhea in 1997 and 2006, in the same way as the per capita family income. Among the variables included in Group D (maternal factors), low maternal age and schooling behaved as risk factors for diarrhea in their children, in the two years evaluated.

The results of the hierarchical final model for the factors associated with the occurrence of diarrhea are shown in Table 2. Of a total of 10 variables, only four were independently associated: geographical area, number of people per room, maternal age and age of the child. The results are presented below, with the respective prevalence ratios and confidence intervals. In 1997: UI = 1.33 (95%CI 1.06–1.66), RI = 1.22 (95%CI 0.97–1.53) and occurrence of diarrhea (2006): UI = 1.87 (95%CI 1.31–2.66), RI(2006) = 2.07 (95%CI 1.50–2.85); number of persons per room (1997): 1 to less than 2 = 1.29 (95%CI 0.98–1.68), two or more = 1.47 (95%CI 1.11–1.95) and number of people per room (2006): 1 to less than 2 = 0.86 (95%CI 0.68–1.09), two or more = 1.29 (95%CI 0.94–1.75); maternal age (1997): 10 to 19 years = 1.48 (95%CI 1.05–2.08), 20 to 24 years = 1.23 (95%CI 0.94–1.60), 25 to 34 years = 1.01 (95%CI 0,78–1,30) and maternal age (2006): 10 to 19 years old = 1.70 (95%CI 1.08–2.66), 20 to 24 years old = 1.64 (95%CI 1.16–2.32), 25 to 34 years = 1.20 (95%CI 0.89–1.62); and age of the child (1997): 0–11 months = 1.57 (95%CI 1.27–1.94), 12–23 months = 1.73 (95%CI 1.41–2.12) and the age of the child (2006): 0–11 months = 1.04 (95%CI 0.76–1.41), 12–23 months = 1.77 (95%CI 1.41–2.23).

DISCUSSION

Health problems, when considered at the population level and as individual or clinical processes, involve multiple factors in their determination. Thus, the variations occurring in the geographical space between biological and social groups and, especially, on a temporal scale, such as the historical trends of the health or disease process, represent multifactorial outcomes, combining a more or less complex set of causes that act together⁶6. Rouquayrol MZ, Goldbaum M, Santana EWP. Epidemiologia, história natural e prevenção de doenças. In: Rouquayrol MZ, Gurgel M. Epidemiologia e saúde. 7.ed. Rio de Janeiro: MedBook; 2013. p.11-24.. Therefore, there is no single model of explanatory factors that can be universally applied in different territories, at different times and in human groups that evolve with their own characteristics, even if they are influenced by global processes⁷7. UNICEF. Situação mundial da infância 2012: crianças em um mundo urbano. New York; 2012 [cited 2013 Aug 21]. Available from: https://www.unicef.org/brazil/pt/PT-BR_SOWC_2012.pdf
https://www.unicef.org/brazil/pt/PT-BR_S... .

These conceptual fundamentals are well illustrated when, as in the case of this study, the epidemiological behavior of diarrheas in children under five years of age in the state of Pernambuco is analyzed, in a relatively brief period of time, i.e., in the years 1997 and 2006. In a descriptive approach, marked geographical changes were observed in the prevalence of the problem, its spatial and socio-environmental distribution, its hospitalization demands and its participation (or impact) in the composition of the causes of death. It is a chain of events that, in addition to its own significance, as a representation of a specific nosology, is part of a more general process: the recent history of transition¹⁸18. Batista Filho M, Souza AI, Miglioli TC, Santos MC. Anemia e obesidade: um paradoxo de transição nutricional brasileira. Cad Saude Publica. 2008;24 Supl 2:s247-57. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0102-311X008001400010
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0102-311X008001... .

It is clear both in terms of univariate analysis and in terms of understanding diarrhea under a multivariate approach, the significant differences that demarcate the epidemiological transit of the problem in a specific group of hosts: children under five years old.

From this perspective, the significant variations recorded in the five groups of factors and their subcategories, composed of three levels of multivariate analysis, stand out. The entry or exclusion of many variables by more statistical criteria than conceptual ones can, along with other limitations that will be opportunely highlighted, represent a possible impropriety of methodological approach. However, the prevailing impression is that diarrhea, as a healthmapping nosography, expresses in a sensitive way the dynamic process of a set of factors that are articulated from the structural level of society to the family or individual instance of its determination, which causes changes in analytical results in the period evaluated.

Based on the results of the univariate and multivariate analyzes treated in our study, we highlight two aspects (the notable reduction in the prevalence of diarrhea in the Metropolitan Region of Recife and the relationship that the water supply or treatment statistically meant in reducing the risk of this problem in children), it would be possible to presume two concordant ecological events. The first refers to the great advances in the coverage of public water supply in the Metropolitan Region of Recife over the last 10 years, unlike in the rest of the state, whether in urban or rural areas. The second refers to the water supply crisis that worsened in a significant way, so that the solution for several years consists in the construction of two large systems of water mains in the Sertão and Agreste, still in progress, for the populations of urban and rural areas through the transposition of the São Francisco river¹⁹19. Instituto Trata Brasil. Ranking do saneamento: resultados com base no SNIS 2012. São Paulo; 2014 [cited 2015 Feb 11]. Available from: http://www.tratabrasil.org.br/datafiles/estudos/ranking/relatorio-completo-2014.pdf
http://www.tratabrasil.org.br/datafiles/... ^,2020. Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA). Transposição do Rio São Francisco: análise de oportunidade do projeto. César Nunes Castro. Rio de Janeiro; 2011 [cited 2012 Apr 11]. Available from: http://repositorio.ipea.gov.br/bitstream/11058/1418/1/TD_1577.pdf
http://repositorio.ipea.gov.br/bitstream... . These observations are compatible with the explanatory hypothesis suggested here and would be two cartographies separated by the basic sanitation conditions (water, sewage, and garbage).

In Brazil, it is estimated that 36 million people still do not have access to safe drinking water. In addition, less than half of the Brazilian population does not have garbage collection and only 38% of the sewage is not treated, which contributed to the 212,000 hospitalizations in 2011 due to diarrhea in children under five years of age in the country²¹21. Instituto Trata Brasil. Saneamento básico: há dinheiro e tecnologia, mas faltam projetos e vontade política. São Paulo; c2013 [cited 2014 Dec 20]. Available from: http://www.tratabrasil.org.br/saneamento-basico-ha-dinheiro-e-tecnologia-mas-faltam-projetos-e-vontade-politica
http://www.tratabrasil.org.br/saneamento... . A study carried out in Bahia to evaluate the impact of the Água para Todos (Water for All) Program, which included 224 municipalities, concluded that those with a coverage of 10% had a 14% reduction in mortality due to diarrhea in children under five years of age and in 6% in hospital admissions, when compared to uncovered municipalities or those with lower coverage²²22. Rassela D. Impacto do Programa Água para Todos (PAT) sobre a morbi-mortalidade por diarreia em crianças do Estado da Bahia, Brasil. Cad Saude Publica. 2013;29(1):40-50. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0102-311X2013000100006
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0102-311X201300... .

When analyzing the hierarchical final models of the study years, 1997 and 2006, we highlight some variables that have been associated with diarrhea in the two periods, such as maternal age, child age and number of people per room. In other situations, there are variables that were not included in the adjusted model, such as water supply and treatment in 1997, but which entered in 2006. On the other hand, some groups of variables that appear in the final model of 1997, such as the destination of garbage and the availability of refrigerator at home, which was part of the risk model in 1997, stopped participating in 2006.

The age of the mother has frequently been associated with the prevalence of diarrhea²³23. Sinmegn MT, Asres AG, Shimeka TA. Determinants of childhood diarrhea among underfive children in Benishangul Gumuz Regional State, North West Ethiopia. BMC Pediatr. 2014;14:102. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2431-14-102
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2431-14-102... ^,2424. Finlay JE, Ozaltin E, Canning D. The association of maternal age with infant mortality, child antropometric failure, diarrhoea and anemia for first birhs: evidence from 55 low-and middleincome countries. BMJ Open. 2011;1(2):e000226. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2011-000226
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2011-000... . The association of the disease in the children of younger mothers can be attributed to the greater probability of conceiving underweight children, as well as maternal inexperience in caring for children and greater difficulties in adequately feeding their children, including those with a tendency towards early weaning²⁵25. Picot J, Hartwell D, Harris P, Mendes D, Clegg AJ, Takeda A. The effectiveness of interventions to treat severe acute malnutrition in young children: a systematic review. Health Technol Assess. 2012;16(19):1-316. https://doi.org/10.3310/hta16190
https://doi.org/10.3310/hta16190... ^,2626. Guimarães AMDN, Bettiol H, Souza L, Gurgel RQ, Almeida MLD, Ribeiro ERO, et al. Gravidez na adolescência é fator de risco para o baixo peso ao nascer? Rev Saude Publica. 2013;47(1):11-9. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0034-89102013000100003
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0034-8910201300... .

The age of the child implied a higher risk in the groups of zero to 11 months and 12 to 24 months, compared to the older children. This is a universal trend, with several biological, cultural and socio-environmental reasons for this increased risk²⁷27. Mehal JM, Esposito DH, Holman RC, Tate JE, Callinan LS, Parashar UD. Risk factors for diarrheaassociated infant mortality in the United States, 2005-2007. Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2012;31(7):717-21. https://doi.org/10.1097/INF.0b013e318253a78b
https://doi.org/10.1097/INF.0b013e318253... .

Despite the increase in income in the nine-year period (1997–2006), due to the increase in the minimum wage, income transfer program and the country's own economic development, in Pernambuco, there is still a considerable number of cases in which the per capita family income is below 0.5 (half) minimum wage, a condition that has played a significant role in the multivariate model. Low income favors the occurrence of predisposing or aggravating factors of diarrheal diseases due to the low level of education and precarious conditions of life, constituting the so-called poverty ecosystem²⁸28. Das SK, Faruque AS, Chisti MJ, Malek MA, Salam MA, Sack DA. Changing trend of persistent diarrhoea in young children over two decades: observations from a large diarrhoeal disease hospital in Bangladesh. Acta Paediatr. 2012;101(10):452-7. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1651-2227.2012.02761.x
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1651-2227.2012... ^,2929. Barreto ML, Teixeira MG, Bastos FI, Ximenes RAA, Barata RB, Rodrigues LC. Sucessos e fracassos no controle de doenças infecciosas no Brasil: o contexto social e ambiental, políticas, intervenções e necessidades de pesquisa. London: The Lancet; 2011 [cited 2014 Jul 15]. p.47-60. (Saúde no Brasil, 3). Available from: http://www.ins.gob.pe/repositorioaps/0/0/jer/maestria_2012/Art%C3%ADculo%202.pdf
http://www.ins.gob.pe/repositorioaps/0/0... . As an example, the variable “number of people per room” suggests that the high crowding of people can favor the precarious conditions of hygiene and the contamination of food and water. Likewise, these adverse conditions apply to the treatment of drinking water, which came to play a significant role in the most recent analysis in 2006.

Other characteristics of dwellings, families, and children not highlighted in the simple or adjusted models are no longer debated here, but this does not mean that they cannot play a protective or risk role in other circumstances or context.

The study presents limitations that may affect in some respects its internal or external validity. The data were not generated from a study previously designed to analyze the risk factors of diarrhea. In addition, doubts about unexpected statistical results persist, as in the case of water treatment, without a convenient explanation, and there are also epidemiological limitations inherent in prevalence surveys with simultaneous cause and effect registries. Additionally, the adjustment of results as a function of the sample weight was not performed, since the initial study of the historical series (1991) did not contemplate these aspects in the state of Pernambuco⁹9. Secretaria da Saúde do Estado de Pernambuco; UNICEF. I Pesquisa Estadual de Saúde e Nutrição: crianças e adolescentes em Pernambuco: saúde, educação e trabalho. Recife; 1991. or in any of the eight states of the Northeast surveyed; these are, therefore, restrictions that cannot be corrected.

Due to the comprehensiveness of factors evaluated, the originality of the approach, the temporal dimension of its trends and the epidemiological configuration of its observations and analyzes, this study can contribute to the proposal of political and programmatic alternatives to control the problem, as well as to motivate new surveys.

At the public policy level, despite changes in terms of people, time sequences, and geographic spaces, diarrhea remains on an important scale in the ranking of government power. Alongside these basic epidemiological variations, isolated or combined factors were identified in its determination, which signals new strategic indications for its effective control.

REFERENCES

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